Halfords Group Plc Stock Performance

HLFDY Stock  USD 3.95  0.09  2.33%   
Halfords Group has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0575, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Halfords Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Halfords Group is likely to outperform the market. Halfords Group PLC right now retains a risk of 0.49%. Please check out Halfords Group variance, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and price action indicator , to decide if Halfords Group will be following its current trending patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Halfords Group PLC are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong fundamental indicators, Halfords Group is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow67 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-98.3 M
  

Halfords Group Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  386.00  in Halfords Group PLC on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  9.00  from holding Halfords Group PLC or generate 2.33% return on investment over 90 days. Halfords Group PLC is currently producing 0.0396% returns and takes up 0.4891% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 4% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Halfords, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Halfords Group is expected to generate 2.42 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 1.67 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Halfords Group Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Halfords Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3.95 90 days 3.95 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Halfords Group to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Halfords Group PLC probability density function shows the probability of Halfords Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Halfords Group PLC has a beta of -0.0575. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Halfords Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Halfords Group PLC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Halfords Group PLC has an alpha of 0.028, implying that it can generate a 0.028 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Halfords Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Halfords Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Halfords Group PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Halfords Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.463.954.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.263.754.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.493.984.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.783.853.92
Details

Halfords Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Halfords Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Halfords Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Halfords Group PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Halfords Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Halfords Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Halfords Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Halfords Group PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Halfords Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Halfords Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Halfords Group PLC sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Halfords to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Halfords Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Halfords Group Fundamentals Growth

Halfords Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Halfords Group, and Halfords Group fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Halfords Pink Sheet performance.

About Halfords Group Performance

Evaluating Halfords Group's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Halfords Group has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Halfords Group has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Halfords Group plc, through its subsidiaries, provides motoring and cycling products and services in the United Kingdom and the Republic of Ireland. Halfords Group plc was founded in 1892 and is based in Redditch, the United Kingdom. Halfords Group operates under Specialty Retail classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 11000 people.

Things to note about Halfords Group PLC performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Halfords Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Halfords Group PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Halfords Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Halfords Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Halfords Group PLC sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Halfords to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Halfords Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Evaluating Halfords Group's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Halfords Group's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Halfords Group's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Halfords Group's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Halfords Group's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Halfords Group's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Halfords Group's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Halfords Group's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Halfords Group's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Halfords Group's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Halfords Group's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Halfords Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Halfords Group's price analysis, check to measure Halfords Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Halfords Group is operating at the current time. Most of Halfords Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Halfords Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Halfords Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Halfords Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.